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Lemon demand remains high

Lemons continue to ride the citrus pandemic demand wave that is keeping strength in the wholesale market.

Prices are rising slightly, and retail demand is delivering more than 20 percent sales gains year-over-year through June. 

F.O.B. PRICE IN SOUTH & CENTRAL DISTRICT CALIFORNIA LEMONS CONVENTIONAL SIZE 95s FROM May 1ST TROUGH JULY 3RD

Throughout the analyzed period, lemon prices for product coming from South & Central California, have been increasing which is in contrast with to stable pricing of the 2019 season, said Miguel Montero, executive vice president of strategy and revenue with Agtools Inc.

Blue Book has teamed with Agtools Inc., the data analytic service for the produce industry, to look at a handful of crops and how they’re adjusting in the market during the pandemic.

This year’s pattern is similar to that of 2018 when prices began an upward trend at the end of May.

F.O.B. PRICES IN SOUTH & CENTRAL DISTRICT CALIFORNIA LEMONS CONVENTIONAL SIZE 115s FROM May 1ST TROUGH JULY 3RD

In the case of size 115s lemons, the pricing levels are very similar to larger 95s (above}, and between 2018 and 2020, while 2019 was very stable and lower, with a pricing range between $20 and $28 for most of the period, Montero said.

NEW YORK TERMINAL PRICE FOR CONVENTIONAL LEMONS SIZE 115s FROM May 1ST THROUGH JULY 3RD\

Terminal prices for 2020 have experienced greater volatility and range than during any of the two previous years, Montero said. While prices this year have consistently remained above those of 2019, for the most part they have lagged those of 2018.

SOUTHEAST RETAIL PRICE FOR CONVENTIONAL LEMONS SIZE 115s FROM May 1ST TROUGH JULY 3RD

The stability of this fruit is also seen on its retail pricing. A combination of news extolling the virtues of citrus fruit to fight colds and viruses, along with unusual consumption patterns possibly attributed to the Memorial Day holiday, may be one of the reasons for the unusual price peak during the third week of May, Montero said.

Other than this peak, pricing for lemons have followed a very similar pattern during the last three years, pointing to a consistent use of this fruit in the American market.

VOLUME

California is consistently the largest producer of lemons consumed in the United States, accounting 86 percent of the market. This consistency is also evident when we move down the list to the other lemon supplying regions, which rank between the second and the fifth largest suppliers almost every season. We are referring to Mexico, Chile, and Argentina, Montero said.
Together with California’s two producing regions, they account for almost all production, at 99 percent of U.S. lemon consumption.

Lemons continue to ride the citrus pandemic demand wave that is keeping strength in the wholesale market.

Prices are rising slightly, and retail demand is delivering more than 20 percent sales gains year-over-year through June. 

F.O.B. PRICE IN SOUTH & CENTRAL DISTRICT CALIFORNIA LEMONS CONVENTIONAL SIZE 95s FROM May 1ST TROUGH JULY 3RD

Throughout the analyzed period, lemon prices for product coming from South & Central California, have been increasing which is in contrast with to stable pricing of the 2019 season, said Miguel Montero, executive vice president of strategy and revenue with Agtools Inc.

Blue Book has teamed with Agtools Inc., the data analytic service for the produce industry, to look at a handful of crops and how they’re adjusting in the market during the pandemic.

This year’s pattern is similar to that of 2018 when prices began an upward trend at the end of May.

F.O.B. PRICES IN SOUTH & CENTRAL DISTRICT CALIFORNIA LEMONS CONVENTIONAL SIZE 115s FROM May 1ST TROUGH JULY 3RD

In the case of size 115s lemons, the pricing levels are very similar to larger 95s (above}, and between 2018 and 2020, while 2019 was very stable and lower, with a pricing range between $20 and $28 for most of the period, Montero said.

NEW YORK TERMINAL PRICE FOR CONVENTIONAL LEMONS SIZE 115s FROM May 1ST THROUGH JULY 3RD\

Terminal prices for 2020 have experienced greater volatility and range than during any of the two previous years, Montero said. While prices this year have consistently remained above those of 2019, for the most part they have lagged those of 2018.

SOUTHEAST RETAIL PRICE FOR CONVENTIONAL LEMONS SIZE 115s FROM May 1ST TROUGH JULY 3RD

The stability of this fruit is also seen on its retail pricing. A combination of news extolling the virtues of citrus fruit to fight colds and viruses, along with unusual consumption patterns possibly attributed to the Memorial Day holiday, may be one of the reasons for the unusual price peak during the third week of May, Montero said.

Other than this peak, pricing for lemons have followed a very similar pattern during the last three years, pointing to a consistent use of this fruit in the American market.

VOLUME

California is consistently the largest producer of lemons consumed in the United States, accounting 86 percent of the market. This consistency is also evident when we move down the list to the other lemon supplying regions, which rank between the second and the fifth largest suppliers almost every season. We are referring to Mexico, Chile, and Argentina, Montero said.
Together with California’s two producing regions, they account for almost all production, at 99 percent of U.S. lemon consumption.

Greg Johnson is Director of Media Development for Blue Book Services